{"id":16043,"date":"2015-11-27T00:13:17","date_gmt":"2015-11-27T08:13:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/?p=16043"},"modified":"2015-11-24T16:45:28","modified_gmt":"2015-11-25T00:45:28","slug":"israel-as-a-problem-not-a-partner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/2015\/11\/27\/israel-as-a-problem-not-a-partner\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel as a problem, not a partner"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Ambassador Dennis Ross was in Winnipeg as part of the city\u2019s Tarbut Festival to promote his new book. <em>(photo by Rebeca Kuropatwa)<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ambassador Dennis Ross was in Winnipeg earlier this month to promote his latest book, <em>Doomed to Succeed: The U.S.-Israel Relationship from Truman to Obama<\/em> (Farrar, Straus and Giroux). He was one of the participants in the city\u2019s Tarbut Festival.<\/p>\n<p>Ross is the William Davidson Distinguished Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, as well as a Distinguished Professor in the Practice of Diplomacy at Georgetown. He has been very involved in American peace efforts in the Middle East, especially during the administrations of presidents George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton. Among other accomplishments, he helped Israel and the Palestinians reach an interim agreement in 1995, helped broker the Hebron Accord in 1997 and facilitated the 1994 Israel-Jordan peace treaty.<\/p>\n<p>In his new book, Ross explores the attitudes and approaches of every U.S. president toward Israel, and the Middle East in general. He highlights some of the lessons that could have been learned from leader to leader, but were not, and how American presidents have shaped their country\u2019s policies toward Israel.<\/p>\n<p>Ross\u2019 Nov. 15 talk in Winnipeg sold out a week in advance, with more than 200 in the audience at Rady Jewish Community Centre\u2019s Berney Theatre. He began with a few words about the Paris terrorist attacks, describing them as \u201ca sobering event.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis was an intelligence failure,\u201d he said. \u201cYou had three terrorist cells that were able to operate, to acquire a substantial amount of weaponry, to wear suicide vests with explosives \u2013 to orchestrate, plan, and carry it out. My guess is they did rehearsals before they did this.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ross then discussed the spate of terrorist stabbings that has been occurring in Israel, referring to this as \u201ca new normal\u201d that we will need to get used to for the next while.<\/p>\n<p>According to Ross, every administration, from Harry Truman to Barack Obama, has had people in the back office advising their president against siding with Israel. As such, to varying degrees, every president has considered Israel a problem, and not a partner.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis mindset that tends to look at Palestinians and Arabs as something we have to be careful around &#8230; if we are going to be criticizing them, it will create a backlash against us &#8230; this is a mindset that has existed in every administration,\u201d Ross said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/nov-27-speakers.27.Dennis-Ross-book-cover.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-16030\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/nov-27-speakers.27.Dennis-Ross-book-cover.jpg\" alt=\"book cover - Doomed to Succeed\" width=\"250\" height=\"375\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/nov-27-speakers.27.Dennis-Ross-book-cover.jpg 250w, https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/nov-27-speakers.27.Dennis-Ross-book-cover-200x300.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/nov-27-speakers.27.Dennis-Ross-book-cover-100x150.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a>In his book, Ross conveys that the only American president who did not listen to these back-office advisors was Clinton, who saw the United States as Israel\u2019s only friend.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBecause of that, we can have differences with Israel, but he [Clinton] believes that if we create a gap between us and Israel, it will give encouragement to Israel\u2019s enemies,\u201d said Ross. \u201cWith Clinton, the constituency existed, but it had no influence.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jumping from one president to the next, Ross provided glimpses of the eras and issues covered in his book. For example, Ross said, Ronald Reagan was \u201cthe only one to suspend [the supply of] F-16s to Israel as a punishment &#8230; because the Israelis bombed a [nuclear] reactor in Iraq. Reagan later acknowledges that it wasn\u2019t a bad thing,\u201d meaning Israel\u2019s actions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cReagan goes back to his roots of being a very strong friend of Israel,\u201d said Ross. \u201cHe feels a deep moral obligation to the state of Israel &#8230; going back to who he was, to his instincts. He believes the U.S. has a moral obligation to Israel.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>With the Reagan administration, Ross said, \u201cFor the first time, you have a constituency that arises with expertise that counters the other constituency, and sees Israel as a partner and not a problem &#8230; sees Israel as someone the U.S. should be working with.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In Ross\u2019 view, the constituency that views Israel as a problem has been guided by a set of assumptions that have endured since before Truman to today. In <em>Doomed to Succeed<\/em>, he lists three assumptions: \u201cIf you create distance from Israel, you\u2019ll gain with the Arabs; if you cooperate with Israel, you\u2019ll lose with the Arabs; [and] you cannot transform the Middle East unless you solve the Palestinian problem.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ross provided supporting evidence for each of these assumptions. \u201cI\u2019ll give you some examples from the book,\u201d he said. \u201cThe most outrageous example was [Richard] Nixon. In March of 1970, Nixon decides to suspend F4 Phantoms to Israel. Now, I said that Reagan suspended F16s as a punishment. Nixon doesn\u2019t do it as punishment. He\u2019s trying to reach out to [Egyptian president Gamal Abdel] Nasser. He thinks if he suspends arms to Israel, he\u2019ll gain with the Egyptians, gain with Nasser. What makes this an outrageous example is that he did it at the very moment that the Soviet Union was sending military personnel to Egypt.\u201d While Nixon expected to be rewarded by Nasser, Nasser instead demanded more.<\/p>\n<p>About the title of his book, Ross said, \u201cFundamentally, we [America] and Israel share interests and threats. That has always been true. It\u2019s especially true now, as you look over the next 10 to 20 years, the struggle with ISIS and also Iran. We have two proxy wars. Who will dominate the region? The fighting is over identity. You fall back on the fundamental instincts.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou have the Arab state system itself under threat now. Against that backdrop, there\u2019s one state that actually has institutions \u2013 a rule of law, a separation of powers, independent judiciary, elections where the loser accepts the outcome, where there is freedom of speech, of assembly, and where women\u2019s and gay rights are respected. Israel is the only democracy in that region and that\u2019s why the title of the book is called <em>Doomed to Succeed<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The talk concluded with a few questions from the audience. Ross was asked about the Iranian nuclear deal and how he felt about it. Ross said he felt the deal needed tweaking to ensure a positive outcome.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSanctions would erode, eventually,\u201d he said. \u201cI still wasn\u2019t prepared to favor the deal because, after 15 years, Iran gets treated as if it\u2019s Japan or the Netherlands. They can build as large a nuclear infrastructure with no limitations at all. So, I identified, for me, five conditions that need to be met before I could support the deal. These conditions have to deal with how to bolster deterrents. I felt you can\u2019t wait for 15 years to say, \u2018Now, we are serious.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI wanted a firewall now if we see them moving toward a weapon. If we don\u2019t do that, I can\u2019t support it. I wanted us to make our declaratory policy much blunter, to make it clear they can\u2019t use enriched uranium after 15 years. I wanted us to spell out now what happens if there are violations along the margins. For every transgression, there\u2019s a price. They don\u2019t escape. I wanted us to target new sanctions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019ll tell you, the Iranians will cheat around the margins. They will test the verification. When they do, there has to be a price. If you buy 15 years, what do you do with it? I laid it out publicly before the deal was done. I wasn\u2019t shy about this.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In thanking Ross at the event\u2019s conclusion, attendee Howard Morry said, \u201cYou asked the question, \u2018Who has been the best friend to Israel for the past 30 years?\u2019 It could be argued that you\u2019ve been Israel\u2019s best friend in the White House.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rebeca Kuropatwa<\/strong> <em>is a Winnipeg freelance writer.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ambassador Dennis Ross was in Winnipeg as part of the city\u2019s Tarbut Festival to promote his new book. (photo by Rebeca Kuropatwa) Ambassador Dennis Ross was in Winnipeg earlier this month to promote his latest book, Doomed to Succeed: The U.S.-Israel Relationship from Truman to Obama (Farrar, Straus and Giroux). He was one of the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16031,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[784],"tags":[4174,4914,4330,3260,4915],"class_list":["post-16043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-books","tag-dennis-ross","tag-doomed-to-succeed","tag-israel","tag-obama","tag-truman"],"blocksy_meta":{"styles_descriptor":{"styles":{"desktop":"","tablet":"","mobile":""},"google_fonts":[],"version":8}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16043","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16043"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16043\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16031"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16043"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16043"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jewishindependent.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16043"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}