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May 25, 2007

Israeli economy grows

High-tech booms, but unemployment stays high.
MICHAEL GROBERMAN

According to Yaacov Fisher, Israel is a good place to invest. The Israeli economist was in Vancouver last week, on the final leg of a North American tour. He explained his enthusiasm for the country's economy and drew careful attention to issues that make Israel unique.

After two years of negative economic growth, Fisher noted, Israel experienced four years of continuous growth through the end of 1994. In fact, he said, Israel's growth rate was one of the highest among industrialized economies. Nonetheless, he added, despite this growth of the economy, unemployment remains very high.

Fisher explained that growth of the high-tech sector in Israel is key to the growth. Those employed are high-tech-trained individuals whose work adds to the nation's economy, especially with the arrivals of Russian immigrants in the 1990s. But the ordinary Israeli, without specialized training from abroad or from army duty, is still struggling to find work.

Because of the nature of Israel's industry, it must import goods in order to grow. Since 2003, Israel's balance of payments has been positive. That is the value of Israel's imports is less than the value of its exports. Yet, Fisher expressed concern that Israel's economic well-being has "too many eggs in one basket." When high-tech declines in export value, Israel may experience financial losses. Fisher recommended "a balanced growth with industry other than high-tech."

Fisher and Pinchas Landau are the founders of I-Biz – Israel Business Information Services. It is "Israel's leading supplier of value-added intelligence and analysis ... on the Israeli and global economies and financial markets."

Fisher suggested that tourism contributes little to the overall economy in Israel. "Jewish people come, Christians come, whoever comes, comes," he said. But compared to other parts of the world, he said, Israel is not a significant tourist destination.

Asked about foreign investment in Israel, Fisher pointed out that foreign property owners must pay with American funds. This means that, regardless of the shekel's value on the international exchange, no matter its trading value against the American dollar, the actual purchase is done in American dollars. There is no such thing as a bargain, said Fisher, based on the health of the shekel against the dollar.

He said that poverty in Israel has also been steadily increasing, despite charted economic growth. Many of the poor are Arab Israelis with large families.

One reason for this, Fisher noted, is that Prime Minister Ehud Olmert favors Ronald Reagan's "trickle down theory" of how money comes to the poor and middle classes. The key belief here is, that by lowering taxes for the wealthier people and providing investment opportunities, these people will invest money in businesses, thus providing more jobs.

When asked what has been happening with the millions of dollars collected from the Jewish Diaspora to help rehabilitate the north of Israel since the end of the recent war, Fisher said it is difficult to track the money but that North American and other donors are entitled to "full disclosure" of where this money goes.

"Israel's deep recession from 2000 to 2007 pushed people into poverty," he said, adding, however, that, overall, the picture in Israel is "very, very positive."

Michael Groberman is a Vancouver freelance writer.

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